Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

PoliticsVolumen: $1.1MLikviditás: $180.5K

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference betwee...

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Kimenetelek (9)

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

33.0%

Igen 33%Nem 67%

Volumen: $41.8KLikviditás: $16.4K

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?

19.0%

Igen 19%Nem 81%

Volumen: $33.5KLikviditás: $26.9K

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?

13.5%

Igen 14%Nem 87%

Volumen: $18.1KLikviditás: $25.4K

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?

12.5%

Igen 13%Nem 88%

Volumen: $9.8KLikviditás: $16.7K

Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?

8.8%

Igen 9%Nem 91%

Volumen: $41.5KLikviditás: $18.6K

Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?

8.5%

Igen 9%Nem 92%

Volumen: $41.0KLikviditás: $28.2K

Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?

4.5%

Igen 4%Nem 96%

Volumen: $430.2KLikviditás: $17.8K

Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

3.6%

Igen 4%Nem 96%

Volumen: $475.4KLikviditás: $19.0K

Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

0.4%

Igen 0%Nem 100%

Volumen: $11.0KLikviditás: $10.3K

Lezárás: 2026. 04. 12.