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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

WorldVolumen: $665.4KLikviditás: $578.1K

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by ...

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Kimenetelek (11)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

64.5%
Igen 65%Nem 36%
Volumen: $94.2KLikviditás: $36.2K

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

21.1%
Igen 21%Nem 79%
Volumen: $68.0KLikviditás: $55.7K

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

12.5%
Igen 13%Nem 88%
Volumen: $76.5KLikviditás: $66.0K

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

3.3%
Igen 3%Nem 97%
Volumen: $49.2KLikviditás: $66.0K

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

1.2%
Igen 1%Nem 99%
Volumen: $58.8KLikviditás: $68.2K

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?

0.8%
Igen 1%Nem 99%
Volumen: $34.8KLikviditás: $55.7K

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?

0.1%
Igen 0%Nem 100%
Volumen: $28.0KLikviditás: $56.0K

Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.1%
Igen 0%Nem 100%
Volumen: $223.1KLikviditás: $35.6K

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.1%
Igen 0%Nem 100%
Volumen: $10.7KLikviditás: $49.7K

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.1%
Igen 0%Nem 100%
Volumen: $10.1KLikviditás: $46.4K

Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.1%
Igen 0%Nem 100%
Volumen: $12.0KLikviditás: $39.6K

Lezárás: 2026. 10. 05.