How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

ScienceVolumen: $1.1MLikviditás: $32.2K

This market will resolve according to the number of natural volcanic eruptions with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the cumulative figures for 2026 for VEI 4, VEI 5, and VEI 6 released on the page currently titled "Eruptions Avg 2000-2024 (N/T)" (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?questio...

Árfolyam történet

Kimenetelek (6)

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

55.0%

Igen 55%Nem 45%

Volumen: $476.2KLikviditás: $5.5K

Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?

36.5%

Igen 37%Nem 64%

Volumen: $260.0KLikviditás: $3.6K

Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

4.7%

Igen 5%Nem 95%

Volumen: $30.7KLikviditás: $6.5K

Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

1.7%

Igen 2%Nem 98%

Volumen: $25.9KLikviditás: $3.0K

Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

0.4%

Igen 0%Nem 100%

Volumen: $252.8KLikviditás: $9.2K

Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

0.4%

Igen 0%Nem 100%

Volumen: $24.0KLikviditás: $5.7K

Lezárás: 2027. 03. 31.