How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

ScienceVolumen: $625.5KLikviditás: $15.8K

This market will resolve according to the number of natural volcanic eruptions with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the cumulative figures for 2026 for VEI 4, VEI 5, and VEI 6 released on the page currently titled "Eruptions Avg 2000-2024 (N/T)" (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?questio...

Árfolyam történet

Kimenetelek (6)

Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?

46.0%

Igen 46%Nem 54%

Volumen: $235.1KLikviditás: $4.8K

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

37.5%

Igen 38%Nem 63%

Volumen: $372.7KLikviditás: $2.6K

Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

9.0%

Igen 9%Nem 91%

Volumen: $17.7KLikviditás: $2.0K

Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

3.4%

Igen 3%Nem 97%

Volumen: $0Likviditás: $1.5K

Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

1.8%

Igen 2%Nem 98%

Volumen: $0Likviditás: $2.2K

Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

1.8%

Igen 2%Nem 98%

Volumen: $0Likviditás: $1.7K

Lezárás: 2027. 03. 31.