How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

ScienceVolumen: $1.2MLikviditás: $5.4K

This market will resolve according to the number of natural volcanic eruptions with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the cumulative figures for 2026 for VEI 4, VEI 5, and VEI 6 released on the page currently titled "Eruptions Avg 2000-2024 (N/T)" (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?questio...

Árfolyam történet

Kimenetelek (6)

Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?

50.0%

Igen 50%Nem 50%

Volumen: $275.0KLikviditás: $420

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

37.5%

Igen 38%Nem 63%

Volumen: $499.9KLikviditás: $720

Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

10.4%

Igen 10%Nem 90%

Volumen: $46.1KLikviditás: $620

Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

1.5%

Igen 2%Nem 99%

Volumen: $32.1KLikviditás: $328

Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

0.7%

Igen 1%Nem 99%

Volumen: $275.9KLikviditás: $2.2K

Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

0.4%

Igen 0%Nem 100%

Volumen: $35.9KLikviditás: $1.1K

Lezárás: 2027. 04. 01.