How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

ScienceVolumen: $447.6KLikviditás: $14.8K

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. ...

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Kimenetelek (8)

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

59.5%

Igen 60%Nem 41%

Volumen: $90.3KLikviditás: $1.1K

Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

30.5%

Igen 31%Nem 70%

Volumen: $107.9KLikviditás: $1.4K

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

5.5%

Igen 5%Nem 95%

Volumen: $151.7KLikviditás: $2.5K

Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

2.1%

Igen 2%Nem 98%

Volumen: $3.7KLikviditás: $1.5K

Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

1.6%

Igen 2%Nem 98%

Volumen: $4.6KLikviditás: $1.9K

Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

1.5%

Igen 2%Nem 99%

Volumen: $8.9KLikviditás: $1.9K

Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

1.1%

Igen 1%Nem 99%

Volumen: $55.5KLikviditás: $2.0K

Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

0.8%

Igen 1%Nem 99%

Volumen: $24.9KLikviditás: $2.6K

Lezárás: 2026. 12. 31.