How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

ScienceVolumen: $478.4KLikviditás: $57.5K

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. ...

Árfolyam történet

Kimenetelek (8)

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

41.0%

Igen 41%Nem 59%

Volumen: $95.2KLikviditás: $2.9K

Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

38.0%

Igen 38%Nem 62%

Volumen: $111.6KLikviditás: $3.4K

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

12.0%

Igen 12%Nem 88%

Volumen: $155.5KLikviditás: $4.7K

Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

4.0%

Igen 4%Nem 96%

Volumen: $59.3KLikviditás: $6.3K

Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

3.1%

Igen 3%Nem 97%

Volumen: $12.0KLikviditás: $24.9K

Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

1.6%

Igen 2%Nem 98%

Volumen: $8.3KLikviditás: $6.3K

Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

1.3%

Igen 1%Nem 99%

Volumen: $29.4KLikviditás: $5.2K

Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

0.7%

Igen 1%Nem 99%

Volumen: $7.1KLikviditás: $4.0K

Lezárás: 2026. 12. 31.